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Mike Wood

HR Trends 2026: When Every Vendor Sounds the Same

Mike Wood had been on expo floors for three days straight — Unleash, then Transform 2026 in Las Vegas — and his eyes were glazing over. Not from Vegas. From the pitches. Every vendor leading with AI. Every product rebuilt, relaunched, rebranded. Investors Steve had talked to that week couldn’t sort out who was different from who. Neither could the analysts. Neither, honestly, could he.

Mike Wood is an analyst at HR.com and host of the Totally Talent Podcast. He’s been in this space long enough to watch entire categories converge — employee recognition, talent acquisition, now the whole stack — and his read on what comes next for vendors and buyers is worth sitting with.

“The messaging is almost all the same. The technology is almost all the same. It feels like we’ve flipped from having different vendors specialize in one key thing to now everybody trying to do everything,” Mike says.

HR Trends 2026: When Every Vendor Sounds the Same
  42 min
HR Trends 2026: When Every Vendor Sounds the Same
Work Tech Weekly
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The Tech Is Table Stakes Now. So What Isn’t?

Mike’s been here before. He got his start in employee recognition — Global Force, which became Workhuman. Back then, Workhuman, Achievers and O.C. Tanner were genuinely different. Not just on features. On brand, on point of view, on how they showed up for buyers. You could tell them apart.

Then the tech converged. The messaging followed. Now they all do the same thing.

“And I’m seeing it now in TA,” he says. “Everybody wants to be frontline workforce ’cause that’s who’s getting hired — the nurses of the world. And it’s just really weird. I feel like everybody’s scrambling not to run out of funds.”

My read: we are close to peak non-differentiation in work tech. Everyone is leading with AI without being willing to say what actually makes them different. When the people watching this space closest can’t tell the players apart without a scorecard, buyers don’t stand a chance.

Mike’s advice for those buyers is blunt: stop evaluating the product and start evaluating the company. How are they hiring? Are they growing too fast? What does customer service look like six months after you sign? What are the hidden fees?

The demo is table stakes. And some of it isn’t even real. Mike tried out an AI interviewer at a startup booth the week before. They were hiring for an auditor at PwC. He told the system he cleaned bathrooms at a local high school.

“It just completely ignored it,” he says. “So I’d advise buyers: take the AI interview yourself, try it out. Because there are some solutions that are vaporware out there.”

A Lot of These Vendors Are Running Out of Time

There’s something sitting underneath the differentiation story, and it’s more urgent: a lot of the companies on that expo floor are running out of runway.

I was talking to an executive coming into the conference who said he was looking to make acquisitions. Everybody’s for sale, he told me. The punchline: the companies asking for serious multiples not that long ago are now a lot hungrier. 

Mike has been tracking the funding closely. “You see a lot of these tools that have a flashy booth that have taken three rounds of funding,” he says. “That bill’s gonna be due at the end when you sell.”

The ones most at risk are the startups that built something impressive 12 to 18 months ago and haven’t been able to keep pace since. A 24-month release roadmap is now a 3-month release roadmap. If your pitch was built around a feature that’s now table stakes, you have a problem.

Mike thinks we’ll see a wave of acquisitions by fall. My read: some of those companies won’t make it that far. There are more companies that want or need to get acquired than can get acquired. When the music stops, some will just shutter.

Service Is the New Differentiator Nobody Wants to Admit

For years, the SaaS growth model treated services revenue as a liability. It complicated the metrics. It signaled the product wasn’t self-sufficient. Pure tech, no services — that was the orthodoxy.

That’s breaking down.

I’m seeing larger players spin up service and support organizations because they’ve figured out that buyers actually want them. The buying environment is uncertain. Customers need more hand-holding than the model ever budgeted for. And if you’re willing to actually show up for them after the contract is signed, that means something right now.

Mike put it from the buyer side. If you’re choosing between a legacy platform where you’re a ticket number and a newer player who picks up the phone, that math is changing. He remembers when touch-tone customer service launched and everyone said it would be great.

“Now everybody just rage hits zero to get to talk to a real person,” he says.

The biggest brands of 2030 may not be launched yet. The ones that get there might do so less on features than on the willingness to actually show up for customers after the contract is signed.

The Social Contract Frayed. Buyers Felt It First.

The macro thread running under all of this is the one hardest to put in a pitch deck. Hiring is down. Buying cycles are extending. More people are on buying committees. And the uncertainty in the market — tariffs, workforce reductions, immigration, the gig economy spreading into white-collar work — makes it hard to commit to anything. “If you get it wrong, that’s your job,” Mike says.

He’s been in this industry since 2013. The whole time, people were asking: are you ready for the 2020 workplace? Turns out nobody was ready for the 2020 workplace because it was COVID. His point: planning horizons have collapsed. You can’t make a two-year software decision when you don’t know what the world looks like in six months.

The paralysis is rational. But it can’t last forever.

Mike’s dad worked at the same company for 50 years. Has a pension. Knew that if he worked hard, he’d be developed and taken care of. Mike can’t even have that conversation with him anymore. What’s replaced it is a fractional economy — five jobs, no benefits, nobody investing in developing people because it’s easier to replace them. “The gig economy’s come to the white collar workforce,” I said. He didn’t disagree.

The post-World War II social contract — go to college, get a stable job, buy a home, retire — is over. That’s not a hot take anymore. It’s just the math. And the buyers paralyzed on the expo floor aren’t being irrational. They’re responding to an environment that has made every decision feel like a career-ending bet.

I tried to end this conversation on an optimistic note. I mostly got there. The founders I talked to at Transform aren’t showing up for the free drinks. They’re showing up because they believe work can be better and they think they’ve got part of the answer. That hasn’t changed. And in a market where it’s getting harder to tell anyone apart, that clarity of mission might be the most differentiated thing a company can have.

 

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